Continue to update Cheltenham races and decided to advise long term members to back Denman ew @ 8/1 and Binocular win @ 6/1 as some of these proces are going. Of course horses will improve and come into contention during the season but I have both races between 4 or 5 horses and I am sure both the advised horses will be trading shorter before Christmas.
Binocular will have a years growth and maturity, and did really well having missed a vital piece of work before last years race. I am worried about Hurricane Fly but he has yet to run at Cheltenham and needs to prove himself. He is trading too short for me but he is definately one to watch. I am not interested in Solwhit but will keep an eye on him. I will be looking to back to small stakes both Punjabi and Celestial Halo on betfair at 16/1 or bigger.
A horse that will be 10 at the next festival and with a well reported heart problem cannot make good ante post material, but when you look at the ratings Kauto Star and Denamn are so far ahead it is dificult not to see them in the finish if the make it to the Gold Cup in 2010. Sure irish horses like Cooldine, Aran Concerto and Trafford Lad could make the grade as could others but I can look to back these during the season as such horses need to win a good 3 mile + race at Graded Class level to stand a chance. I took Kauto Star on last year and lost but want to take him on again and I am more confident that he can be beaten this time. He is far too exposed and despite his class and the fact that he will be targetted at only the King george and the Gold Cup do not think he represents good value. He is a champion though so I am not saying that on the day I wont be tempted to save on him, but at the moment the 8/1 about Denamn is huge. He will only have to come out and win a race for those odds to halve and whereas last season I am sure they were worried about his condition I believe this season they will train as though he does not have a problem. He does take a lot of getting fit so there is a chance his first run may not be that impressive but that might give me another chance to go in again, (once connections confirmed he has come out of the race ok).
So there you are take the 6/1 about Binocular and the 8/1 about Denman and look to trade out before Christmas for a free bet.
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