Friday, 7 August 2009

National Hunt Ante Post Trading Opportunities

Well the 8/1 has now gone about Denman for the Gold Cup, as I thought it would. I still think 7/1 is too big but having had my bet will now wait.

I was interested in reading that Paul Nicholls intends giving Master Minded a busy season icluding the Queen Mother Champion Chase (QMCC). He has stated before, that he is a dificult horse to train and I am sure there is money in laying him for the QMCC now. It would only need one poor run or an injury scare for his odds to lengthen and his performances of late are not upto those of his first Queen Mum win, so there is the real possibility of him being run very close. That is without considering the possibilty (god forbid) of injury. The downside is you tie your money up which few of us can afford to do, but as a low risk trading opportunity this is one of the better ones.

Slightly more risky trading opportunity is to take the 25/1+ on Betfair about Notre Pere for the Gold Cup. He is due to clash with Kauto Star in Ireland in November and I would expect him to trade shorter leading upto that race and even if you cannot trade out for a profit before the race I am confident on nhis required soft going he will give a good enough show to see his odds cut even if he doesn't beat Kauto Star. This is however definately a trading bet only as I cannot see him getting his soft ground at the festival and so he probably will not even run!

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