Horses to Follow

Well I have updated (using Easyodds) all my horses to follow based on my own list plus One Jump Ahead plus John Morris and Paul Ferguson.

I am not sure I have been discriminating enough but the art will be to only back one of the listed to follow when a) conditions are in the selections favour; b) based on an analysis of all runners the selection is well in on the form ratings; c) the selection meets the basic trends for the race in question; d) the horse is avaiable at value odds and the frame of the race is attractive; and finally e) the trainer and jockey are not out of form in the last 14 days (> 5% S/R) and the trainer and jockey have a good record at the course (> 10% for at least one of them);

My offer of a free trial during October is going well with a very good take up (www.cheltenhamchampions.com), and I am confident my list of horses to follow which I will release in the 2nd week of the free trial will pay there way during the season and believe it will be worth signing up for the free trial alone (but I would say that wouldn't I!).

Had my first bet of the National hunt season on Kangaroo Court. I had wanted to take on Seven is my Number and got what I thought was a good price about Kangaroo Court only to find Seven is my Number being withdrawn, leaving Kangaroo Court odds-on! He duly won nicely but the cut for the Arkle was an over reaction to say the least. I think Kangaroo Court is definately one to follow but I don't think he is even the best 2 mile novice chaser in Emma Lavelle's yard let alone the Arkle winner. Interestingly Seven is my Number came out a couple of days later and won nicely so it might have been an interesting race but I still believe Kangaroo Court would have prevailed.

Anyway my blogs may be a little more erratic given I will be spending most of my time on my weekly e-mail to members.