I was reading about Paul Nicholls open Day feedback in the Racing Post and have had a good bet to lay back at some time in the future. Now I say quite openly and up front I have already had a small bet on Betfair and plan to lay back either just before it runs or after if I decide to let it run and (hopefully) win. The horse is Tataniano for the Arkle. I have always believed Paul Nicholls to be the number one trainer when it comes to 2 mile chasers and I used to look for the Nicholls' and Pipe (and since the retirment of Martin, Alan King's), 2 mile Novice chasers as ante post propositions as early as possible, as they were sure to be backed in. We had Tatenen last year and this year we have Tataniano. He has run three times at 19f or less and won all three and has a course win at 17f, which he won by 21 lengths.
Now that race was only a Class 2 but his rating over hurdles is comparable to last years winner and it is clear from the open day that he is being targetted at the race. I cannot believe the 25/1 with Bet365 will last long but I have backed it on Betfair as I am most likely to look to lay the bet off. We only need a positive mention in the Racing Post from Paul Nicholls before he runs next season and he will surely shorten to at least 16/1. This is looking a very competitve division this year with a number of 2 mile hurdles (such as Crack Away Jack and Sizing Europe possibly going chasing), and I have a lot of respect for horses such as Sommersby and Copper Bleu that were always going to be better chasers than hurdlers.
This is a race where we need to wait and see horses jump at speed and I would not notrmally be looking to bet until just after Christmas but I really cannot see Tataniano being bigger then 16/1 come November/December. This is a trading bet though at this stage of the season.
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