Sunday, 6 September 2009

ISIRIS is back!

I follow JP's betting blog and am really pleased he has resubscribed to Isiris so I can follow that services progress. I was with Isiris for most of the last 14 years. I wish Kevin every success but I believe other services offer much better value for money these days without the angst of trying to get the advertised prices. I suspect prices may hold up a little better these days as I would imagine numbers are down on the hey day and I hope JP makes a success. I will miss Kevin's Ante Post advices as that was one part of the service I did enjoy and did make a profit out of.

I don't know whether it is the same person but I also noted JP's Cheltenham blog has posted his first thoughts, putting up Forpadydeplasterer as his QMCC tip. The Arkle winner does have a fantastic profile if lining up in the QMCC the following year and 20/1 is a decent price. He has been first or second in every race he has run in bar one when he was 4th. You have to put Kalahari King and Barker in the race with a similar chance with at least the former having the the important benefit of being confirmed as being targetted at the race. I don't expect many will be in contention for this and an each way shot at 16/1+ once the target has been confirmed is not a bad play on any of those three. Personally I am coupling those mentioned with Masterminded Big Zeb and Petit Robin on Betfair as the prices allow, until I am clearer about racing plans.

Three horses I would consider betting if the prices would allow are DUNGUIB for the Supreme Novices; HURRICANE FLY for the Champion Hurdle and BIG BUCKS for the World Hurdle, but they would need to be at least 6/1+ for me to go in. BIG BUCKS is the safest of the three having been there and done it. There is always the doubt he may go for the Gold Cup if anything happened to Kauto Star and/or Denman. Also he does race in a way that it would not be totally unexpected if he put in a bad performance and if he did, (and Paul Nicholls confirmed he had come out of it ok) could see the price drift enough to play. Both HURRICANE FLY and DUNGUIB have to prove they can jump at speed and I am happy to pass them over for the moment. HURRICANE FLY is making the market for my two main fancies for the Champion Hurdle in BINOCULAR and CELESTIAL HALO and am very happy to wait and see how the season develops having taken 6/1 & 13/2 and 14/1. Certainly backing horses at less then 6/1 ante post is a sure way to lose money in the long run, it must be 2/1 any horse gets to the race in one piece let alone in form and with a winning chance.

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